How is Medicare Advantage developing in North Carolina?

Data through February 2026 · Updated June 15, 2026 live

North Carolina's MA penetration is 57.9% — above the 57.8% national share by 0.1 points, ranking 20 of 52 with 1.335M MA enrollees of 2.305M Medicare beneficiaries as of February 2026.

57.9%
February 2026
#20
National rank (of 52)
February 2026
1.335M
MA enrollees
February 2026
19%
SNP share of MA (D-SNP 15%)
February 2026
16.1%
Dual-eligible share of Medicare
2025 Q4

Tracked counties in North Carolina — drill down

Guilford54.6%· +0.87 pts YoYForsyth53.2%· +0.87 pts YoYMecklenburg52.8%· +0.87 pts YoYDurham51.8%· +0.87 pts YoYWake50.4%· +0.87 pts YoYGreene44.8%· +0.87 pts YoY
County table with momentum
CountyPenetrationYoY ptsD-SNP %CarriersTop carrier
Guilford54.6%+0.8721%4Humana
Forsyth53.2%+0.8720%4Centene
Mecklenburg52.8%+0.8718%5BCBS
Durham51.8%+0.8723%4BCBS
Wake50.4%+0.8714%4BCBS
Greene44.8%+0.8726%2Centene

Tracked carrier positions in North Carolina

CarrierEnrollment (K)PlansStarsYoY trendNote
Humana31893.5-5.6%Exiting 4 rural NC counties

Carrier coverage is the curated major-carrier extract (March 2026) — not all carriers in the state.

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Sales playbook one-pager

↓ Download the North Carolina sales playbook (PNG): a branded snapshot of penetration, runway class, carrier positions, D-SNP gap, and contestable members for this state. Runway class and score are a MedicareInsights modeled index, never citable as CMS data; source vintages are printed on the image.

So what / Now what

North Carolina is a switcher market — expansion means winning members from incumbent MA plans on benefits, network, and brand.

Provenance — MA enrollment & penetration by state
Source file
CMS Medicare Monthly Enrollment (data.cms.gov, public API)
Vintage
February 2026
Last updated
June 15, 2026
Refresh cadence
Monthly (CMS publishes ~3 months in arrears)
Method
State-level rows pulled from the Medicare Monthly Enrollment API; MA share = MA_AND_OTH_BENES / TOT_BENES. Refreshed via automated pipeline from the CMS public API.
Known limitations
Penetration here is share of all Medicare beneficiaries (Parts A and/or B), not the KFF eligible-only basis, which runs ~4pts higher.