MA & D-SNP Competitive Lens
How Medicare Advantage and D-SNP plans compare across Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Delaware, Western NY and Northeastern NY, one plan year against the next. Built from CMS plan benefit, landscape and enrollment files.
Executive briefing
What is happening in this market, who is gaining or losing enrollment, how your carrier is positioned, and what to look at next. Every card links to the evidence. February enrollment (YOY snapshot); ranges reflect CMS-suppressed cells (1–10 members each).
Competitive movement
Carrier growth vs market growth vs share change, from the same two February files (same geography and segment). Enrollment growth is a percent; share change is in percentage points (pts). Share rises only when a carrier grows faster, or shrinks more slowly, than the market; enrollment growth alone is not a competitive gain. Ranges come only from CMS-suppressed cells.
All carriers in this view
Top takeaways for this view
Recalculated for the geography, segment and carrier selected above. Observed read directly from CMS files · Derived calculated by MedicareInsights · Interpretation evidence-supported analyst reading · Investigate a question worth checking, no conclusion implied.
Footprint takeaways
Full footprint (all regions), individual MA and SNP plans, February enrollment; generated from the processed CMS files at build time, with the same four labels.
Year-over-year detail
Product position: what stands out for your carrier
Your carrier's median compared with the market benchmark for the latest plan year, in the selected geography and segment. Only differences of at least 10% (10 pts for prevalence, 0.3 for Stars) are listed, and only for measures with a documented favorability direction. Each line is one measure; no overall score is implied.
Generally more favorable than the benchmark on
Generally less favorable than the benchmark on
Data readiness
What this page is built on today, and what is still to come from CMS. "Available" means the dataset is loaded and passed validation for this page. "Latest CMS available" is the newest release CMS has published as last checked (date shown); "Latest MedicareInsights loaded" is read from the files this build used. CMS release checks are under About the data.
Market Watchlist
A monitoring list, not a forecast. Every item is generated from the loaded, validated CMS files for the geography and segment selected above, names its comparison period, source and threshold, and links to the evidence. Investigate items imply no conclusion, cause or prediction.
Market share by carrier
Each row shows a carrier's share in both years: the hollow dot is the earlier year, the filled dot the latest. Longer lines mean bigger moves. Hover a row for exact figures. Share change is in percentage points (pts); enrollment growth is a percent. Click a carrier row in the chart, or use the buttons above, to explore its change.
Enrollment and share table
February enrollment (YOY snapshot). CMS suppresses plan-county counts of 1–10; those cells are not treated as zero. Where a total includes suppressed cells it is shown as a range (each cell at 1 to 10), and shares as a min–max range. Sorting and chart positions use the range midpoint. Click a column header to sort; click a carrier to explore its change and drill down.
Market structure
HHI is a descriptive market-structure indicator (sum of squared carrier shares). The bands shown — under 1,500, 1,500–2,500, over 2,500 — are interpretive concentration bands only; HHI alone does not determine whether a Medicare Advantage market is competitive in a legal or economic sense. Read it with the number of carriers, the largest carrier's share and the top-3 share. Employer group plans are shown for context only and are not included in shares.
Explore the change
What changed for this carrier in the selected geography and segment between the two February snapshots: market growth vs share capture, where the change came from (continuing, new and exited PBPs; PBP and county contribution), and what else happened during the same period (product events, benefit changes on the same PBPs, Stars, competitor moves). Click any carrier in the table above to load it here.
These factors occurred alongside the enrollment movement. Available CMS data does not by itself establish that any individual factor caused the enrollment change.
Drill-down: carrier → contract → PBP → county
Expand a row to go one level down. Enrollment is February (YOY snapshot) with CMS-suppressed cells as ranges; shares are of all members in the view. Benefits and Stars are shown at the level CMS files them (Stars by contract, benefits by PBP).
Relative benefit position
Each carrier's median (per the market benchmark selector) across its county-plan offerings in this geography and segment. The last column shows the actual difference on each measure in the latest year, coloured only where a documented direction rule exists. Premium, MOOP, cost sharing, drug deductible and supplemental benefits are different dimensions of value; this page does not combine them into an overall score or say which carrier "offers more". Change the carriers with "Your carrier" and "Compare against" above.
Benefits vs the market
Market benchmark across county-plan offerings, with the 10th–90th percentile range (same weighting) in small type. "vs benchmark" compares your carrier's median with the market benchmark in the latest year.
Side-by-side plan comparison
Pick up to 4 plans in the finder below. Each cell shows the latest-year value, the prior year in small type, and the change.
Plan finder
Plan history
D-SNP market context
D-SNP market context
D-SNP market
Dual-eligible special needs plans in the selected geography, whatever the segment selector says. February enrollment (YOY snapshot); ranges reflect CMS-suppressed cells.
Competition
D-SNP enrollment and share by carrier. Enrollment growth is a percent; share change is in percentage points. New plans and exits are D-SNP Contract-PBPs offered in at least one county of the view.
Product
D-SNP benefit benchmarks (per the market benchmark selector) with your carrier's median. Premiums are before Medicaid / Extra Help assistance; SSBCI and flex benefits apply to eligible members only.
Integration
CMS integration status from the Landscape: CO = coordination-only, HIDE = highly integrated D-SNP, FIDE = fully integrated D-SNP. Where CMS leaves it blank or "Not Applicable" it is shown as Unknown / Not available, never inferred. Counts are county-plan offerings, with members in small type.
Entries and exits
A plan "exit" means the Contract-PBP stopped being offered in that county. Each exit is classified: CMS-verified successor the CMS Plan Crosswalk maps it to a plan offered in that county; Likely/inferred successor no CMS mapping applies, and the same carrier's plan that was new, or gained members, in that county is shown as an analytical inference; No successor identified neither. CMS-verified mappings always take precedence, and an inferred successor is never labelled confirmed.
Sources
Every figure traces to a named CMS file, plan year and vintage.
Data QA
Automated validation tests (run on every refresh)
Next plan year: CMS release checklist
Where and when each CMS release was last checked. Plan-level datasets show as Available here once they are loaded and validated.
Methodology at a glance
Source
CMS Monthly Enrollment by Contract/Plan/State/County (CPSC), February file of each plan year; CMS MA/SNP Landscape; CMS PBP Benefits; CMS Star Ratings; CMS SNP Comprehensive Report; CMS Medicare Monthly Enrollment (dual population).
How calculated
Grain: Plan Year + State + County FIPS + Contract ID + PBP. Market share = carrier enrollment ÷ enrollment of all included plans in the same geography and segment. Growth is a percent; share change is in percentage points (pts). Suppressed CPSC cells (1–10) are carried as ranges, never zero.
Vintage
Limitations
Descriptive CMS files: changes that happen together are not causes. CMS suppression makes some totals ranges. The CMS Plan Crosswalk is shown as not loaded until it is. Dual population and D-SNP enrollment come from different CMS systems and months.
View methodology →
How the numbers are built
- Unit. Plan Year + State + County + Contract ID + PBP. Benefits come from the PBP segment that serves the county. Plans are never merged on carrier name, plan name or Contract ID alone.
- Geography.
- Plans included (the market for every share, total, HHI and benchmark). Individual Medicare Advantage and SNP plans offered in the CMS Landscape for the county: HMO, HMO-POS, local PPO and regional PPO, with D-SNP, C-SNP and I-SNP selected by the segment view. Excluded: employer group (800-series) plans, PFFS, MSA, 1876 cost and PSO plans, PACE, Medicare-Medicaid plans, PDPs, and CPSC members recorded in a county the plan does not offer in the Landscape (members living outside the filed service area). The CMS reconciliation report lists these exclusions market by market.
- Enrollment vintages. Year-over-year comparisons always use the February file of CMS Monthly Enrollment by Contract/Plan/State/County (CPSC) for each plan year (post-AEP, same month each year); its analytical grain is Contract + Plan/PBP + State + County. The latest CPSC month loaded is shown separately and is never compared with a February file as if it were year-over-year growth.
- Suppressed enrollment. CMS suppresses plan-county counts of 1–10. Those cells are stored as suppressed (null), never zero. A total that includes k suppressed cells is the range [reported + k, reported + 10k]. A carrier share is shown as [Alo ÷ (Alo + othershi), Ahi ÷ (Ahi + otherslo)]; changes use the matching bounds. HHI is shown with a sensitivity range (all suppressed cells at 1 vs all at 10). Charts and sorting use the range midpoint; the range is always shown in the value and the tooltip. A ⓢ marks values that include suppressed cells.
- Market benchmarks. Enrollment-weighted (default business view) — "How does our benefit position compare with the plans members are actually enrolled in?": each offering weighted by its February enrollment (suppressed cells computed at 1 and at 10; a † marks results that differ). For a plan year whose February enrollment is not yet published, it falls back to offering-weighted and says so. Offering-weighted median (the original calculation, unchanged) — "How does our offering compare with the menu of competing plans available?": every county-plan offering is one observation, so a plan offered in 30 counties contributes 30 observations. It describes the menu, not what beneficiaries experience. County-normalized — "How does our position compare when each county receives equal influence?": each county carries equal total weight, split across its offerings. Medicare-beneficiary-weighted — "How does our position compare after weighting markets by Medicare population?": each county weighted by its total Medicare beneficiaries (CMS Medicare Monthly Enrollment), split across its offerings. The same weighting is applied to carrier medians. Prevalence measures ("plans with …") use the same weights over offerings where the measure is defined.
- Direction of change. Colour comes from the metric-direction dictionary below. Where member value depends on eligibility, utilization or benefit structure (SSBCI, flex allowances, zero-dollar cost-sharing D-SNPs, plan type mix) no direction is assigned. Enrollment and share describe market position and are never coloured.
- Allowances. Converted to annual equivalents from the CMS amount and frequency (monthly ×12, quarterly ×4, semi-annual ×2, yearly ×1, every 2 years ÷2, every 3 years ÷3); "other" frequencies are not annualized and appear as not filed. Hearing aid per-ear amounts are doubled. Combined allowances are sorted into dental-only, vision-only, hearing-only, OTC-only, or multi-category "flex". SSBCI benefits apply only to eligible members and are never added to universal benefits. The raw CMS amount and frequency behind each plan value are shown in the plan comparison tooltips.
- Illustrative stay scenarios. "Illustrative 5-day inpatient member cost" and "Illustrative 30-day SNF member cost" are standardized scenarios, not any beneficiary's actual cost: one in-network, tier-1, Medicare-covered stay, first admission of the year or benefit period. Per-day copays are summed across the filed day intervals ($0 intervals add $0, days after the last interval add $0, an open-ended interval runs to the end of the stay); otherwise a per-stay copay is used. A filed inpatient deductible is added and a filed service-specific MOOP caps the result. No copay and no coinsurance filed = $0. Coinsurance designs and Medicare-defined cost sharing are not computed (they need the allowed amount or Part A parameters) and are excluded from medians. Tiered networks use tier 1, which QA confirms is the CMS-flagged lowest-cost tier. The benefit-period type is shown with each plan's structure.
- Part D. Retail 30-day tier cost sharing, using the preferred pharmacy where one exists. The 2025 Part D redesign introduced an annual out-of-pocket cap ($2,000 in 2025; $2,100 in 2026). Changes in premiums, deductibles and benefit design occurred alongside the redesign; this dataset does not attribute those changes to a single cause.
- Carriers. Grouped by the CMS parent organization reported for each Contract ID in each February file (year-aware). Documented brand-level exceptions: CDPHP is shown separately from Excellus BCBS although CMS reports Lifetime Healthcare, Inc. as the parent of both (CDPHP and The Lifetime Healthcare Companies affiliated in 2024; the brands compete separately). Fidelis Care is not split from Centene (Wellcare): CMS reports Centene as its parent and its contract was rebranded Wellcare for 2026. Highmark Wholecare counts as Highmark (CMS parent Highmark Health). When a contract changes parent between February files (for example The Cigna Group → HCSC), each year keeps its CMS-reported owner and the change is labelled an ownership transfer, never a market entry, exit or member movement. The full contract-by-year mapping is published with the QA report.
- Plan transitions. See Entries & exits. CMS Plan Crosswalk mappings take precedence; everything else is labelled as inference.
- Takeaway labels. Observed = read directly from CMS files; Derived = calculated by MedicareInsights; Interpretation = an evidence-supported reading, never presented as CMS fact; Investigate = a question worth checking, with no conclusion implied. "Explore the change" lists evidence from the same period only.
- D-SNP market-sizing proxy. D-SNP February enrollment (CMS Monthly Enrollment by Contract/Plan/State/County (CPSC)) ÷ full-benefit dual-eligible beneficiaries (CMS Medicare Monthly Enrollment, April 2026) in the counties in view. This is not an eligibility rate, conversion rate, or beneficiary enrollment rate. The numerator and denominator come from different reporting systems and vintages, and some D-SNPs also enroll partial-benefit duals.
- Missing values. Shown with their meaning: Suppressed (CMS 1–10 cell), Not filed (no value in the PBP file), Not applicable (e.g. drug deductible for a plan without Part D), Not rated (CMS: not enough data / plan too new), Awaiting CMS release (next plan year). Nothing missing is shown as 0.
- Causation. These are descriptive plan and enrollment files. The page reports what changed together; it does not claim that any benefit change caused an enrollment change.
Metric-direction dictionary
Hover ⓘ next to any measure for its definition, CMS source, formula, weighting and limitations.
Not available
- Hospital and provider network participation by year (not in these CMS files).
- Formulary coverage of specific drugs, and mail-order detail.
- SSBCI or combined-allowance dollar amounts that plans did not file as a maximum. These appear as "offered" without an amount.
- An overall benefit score. None is published, because no weighting of the dimensions above would be defensible without member-level utilization data.